FILM: 2012 Academy Awards Predictions

Posted: January 23, 2012 in Film
Tags: , , ,

Below are my 2012 Academy Awards predictions for the major categories. I am not, however, going to pretend to know sound mixing or art direction enough to make those educated guesses. I wouldn’t say I’m good at this, but it sure is fun. A little note on the Best Picture predictions, we do not actually know how many nominees there will be due to the new Oscar voting rules. So for those with an asterisk, they would normally be voted in if we were under a 10-nominee rule. As for now, I believe they’re on the cusp and should only be a few percentage points either way of getting voted in or not.

When all is said and done, tomorrow’s headline should read something like “The Artist Leads with 12 Oscar Nominations; Hugo also scores big with Academy”

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Best Picture

The Artist
Bridesmaids***
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo***
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Midnight in Paris
The Tree of Life***
War Horse***

Personal Wish: Drive, Shame, A Separation

Best Director

Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terrence Mallick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris

Alternative: David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (probably over Mallick)
Personal Wish: Steve McQueen, Shame

Best Actor

George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar

Alternative: Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (probably over Fassbender)
Personal Wish: Ryan Gosling, Drive

Best Actress

Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon  Tattoo
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn

Alternative: Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs (probably over Swinton)
Personal Wish: Jeong-hie Yun, Poetry

Best Supporting Actor

Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Nick Nolte, Warrior

Alternative: Ben Kingsley, Hugo (this is a long shot…I should be right on all 5 here)
Personal Wish: Andy Serkis, Rise of the Planet of the Apes 

Best Supporting Actress

Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants

Alternative: Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs (probably over Woodley)
Personal Wish: Carey Mulligan, Shame

Best Screenplay, Original

50/50
The Artist
Beginners
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris

Alternative: Young Adult
Personal Wish:  The Tree of Life

Best Screenplay, Adapted

The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Moneyball

Alternative: The Ides of March
Personal Wish: Drive 

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